Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.459048e-05 0.000029 0.000035 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000063
2025-06-08 1.841991e-05 0.000024 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000062 0.000076
2025-06-15 1.446264e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000053 0.000068 0.000088
2025-06-22 1.140798e-05 0.000018 0.000027 0.000039 0.000054 0.000073 0.000097
2025-06-29 8.827588e-06 0.000015 0.000024 0.000037 0.000054 0.000076 0.000104
2025-07-06 6.661229e-06 0.000013 0.000022 0.000035 0.000053 0.000077 0.000108
2025-07-13 5.288902e-06 0.000011 0.000020 0.000034 0.000054 0.000080 0.000115
2025-07-20 4.363750e-06 0.000010 0.000019 0.000034 0.000055 0.000083 0.000123
2025-07-27 3.666376e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000034 0.000057 0.000088 0.000132
2025-08-03 3.450924e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000036 0.000061 0.000096 0.000146
2025-08-10 2.815034e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000035 0.000062 0.000099 0.000153
2025-08-17 2.124369e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000034 0.000061 0.000100 0.000157
2025-08-24 1.573589e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000032 0.000061 0.000102 0.000164
2025-08-31 1.201489e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000032 0.000062 0.000107 0.000174
2025-09-07 9.094388e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000032 0.000063 0.000111 0.000184
2025-09-14 6.511190e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000031 0.000064 0.000114 0.000192
2025-09-21 4.242038e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000030 0.000063 0.000115 0.000197
2025-09-28 2.467546e-07 0.000003 0.000010 0.000028 0.000061 0.000114 0.000199
2025-10-05 1.541945e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000027 0.000061 0.000116 0.000206
2025-10-12 1.019520e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000027 0.000062 0.000120 0.000215
2025-10-19 6.811675e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000027 0.000063 0.000125 0.000226
2025-10-26 6.237505e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000028 0.000068 0.000135 0.000244
2025-11-02 3.547124e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000068 0.000137 0.000252